HOW BRUEN AND DOBBS RESOLVED OPPOSING HISTORICAL TRADITIONS THROUGH HIDDEN EQUAL PROTECTION ANALYSIS

The growing prominence of the history and tradition test has raised questions about how the Supreme Court evaluates historical laws and practices that would be unconstitutional today. 1 1 See Reva B. Siegel, Commentary, How “History and Tradition” Perpetuates Inequality: Dobbs on Abortion’s Nineteenth-Century Criminalization, 60 Hous. L. Rev. 901, 906 (2023) [hereinafter Siegel, How History and Tradition Perpetuates Inequality] (explaining that the Court’s adoption of the history and tradition test “elevate[s] the significance of laws adopted at a time when women and people of color were judged unfit to participate and treated accordingly by constitutional law”); Adam Winkler, Racist Gun Laws and the Second Amendment, 135 Harv. L. Rev. Forum 537, 538 (2022), https://harvardlawreview.org/forum/vol-135/racist-gun-laws-and-the-second-amendment/ [https://perma.cc/TKF6-AG56] (finding that the rising prominence of history and tradition analysis in Second Amendment jurisprudence “is significantly complicated by the fact that many gun laws adopted over the course of American history were racially motivated”). For discussion of the increasing importance of the history and tradition test, see Joseph Blocher & Eric Ruben, Originalism-by-Analogy and Second Amendment Adjudication, 133 Yale L.J. 99, 111 (2023) (acknowledging that cases adopting history and tradition in the Supreme Court’s 2021 to 2022 Term may be “a harbinger of a broader change in the Supreme Court’s approach to history and constitutional law”). ... Close These questions encompass both long-standing and more recent concerns in constitutional interpretation. Scholars have long criticized originalist reasoning for involving a fraught exercise in evaluating competing historical evidence. 2 2 See, e.g., Saul Cornell, The Right to Carry Firearms Outside of the Home: Separating Historical Myths From Historical Realities, 39 Fordham Urb. L.J. 1695, 1697 (2012) (arguing that the originalist test used in District of Columbia v. Heller, 554 U.S. 570 (2008), put judges in the “unenviable position of evaluating the complex and contradictory historical evidence paraded before them”); H. Jefferson Powell, The Political Grammar of Early Constitutional Law, 71 N.C. L. Rev. 949, 950 (1993) (noting that the “existence of ‘original disagreement’”—constitutional disputes among the founders—“renders problematic the invocation of ‘the founders’ in constitutional debate”); Peter J. Smith, Sources of Federalism: An Empirical Analysis of the Court’s Quest for Original Meaning, 52 UCLA L. Rev. 217, 224–25 (2004) (asserting that the “ultimate problem” of originalism, especially when judges “choose to privilege starkly different founding-era views,” “lies in the difficulty of discerning objective meaning in a broadly worded document that attempted to strike compromises among competing interests”). ... Close In the context of history and tradition analysis, this Comment labels this issue the “opposing traditions problem.” 3 3 This concept, explored more infra section I.A, is akin to Professors Joseph Blocher and Eric Ruben’s “variations” problem—that the historical analogical method requires courts to analyze “different” and sometimes “divergent” approaches “taken in different places.” See Blocher & Ruben, supra note 1, at 156, 160. ... Close The history and tradition test leads the Court to identify opposing historical traditions but inherently requires it to resolve the conflict by affirming a “singular historical tradition.” 4 4 See Aaron Tang, Lessons From Lawrence: How “History” Gave Us Dobbs—And How History Can Help Overrule It, 133 Yale L.J. Forum 65, 92 (2023), https://www.yalelawjournal.org/pdf/TangYLJForumEssay_ys5bufi4.pdf [https://perma.cc/7ZMY-W6QB] [hereinafter Tang, Lessons From Lawrence] (discussing the idea that Dobbs required the Court to “identify[] a definitive, singular historical tradition that existed in America” in the mid-nineteenth century); see also Blocher & Ruben, supra note 1, at 160 (suggesting that courts applying history and tradition must have some doctrinal solution to address historical variations and other issues). ... Close More recently, scholars have begun to describe how history and tradition cases also create a “hidden equality” problem. 5 5 The term “hidden equality problem” is a slight variation on the “hiddenness problem” identified by Professor Cary Franklin. See Cary Franklin, History and Tradition’s Equality Problem, 133 Yale L.J. Forum 946, 951–53 (2024), https://www.yalelawjournal.org/
pdf/FranklinYLJForumEssay_gkuu5yd5.pdf [https://perma.cc/HTG3-MCP3]. ... Close Professor Reva Siegel has commented that history and tradition analysis “seem[s] to acknowledge” that legislation constituting a tradition “would have to rest on constitutional grounds.” 6 6 Siegel, How History and Tradition Perpetuates Inequality, supra note 1, at 932 (referencing Justice Samuel Alito’s opinion in Dobbs). ... Close Professor Cary Franklin has further argued that after courts first “identify the relevant tradition,” they engage in a “second (often unarticulated) step” to “determine whether that tradition is compatible with current understandings of equality.” 7 7 See Franklin, supra note 5, at 946, 951 (explaining that history and tradition cases require courts to determine whether the “relevant tradition . . . is consistent with equal protection”). ... Close

Building on this scholarship, this Comment makes the novel argument that these two problems in history and tradition cases are connected: The Court has resolved the opposing traditions problem through hidden equal protection analysis. 8 8 See id. at 949 (noting that the Court’s hidden equality analysis “has not yet attracted significant attention”). ... Close In New York State Rifle & Pistol Ass’n v. Bruen 9 9 142 S. Ct. 2111 (2022). ... Close and Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization, 10 10 142 S. Ct. 2228 (2022). ... Close the Court evaluated which conflicting historical traditions of guns and abortion should constitute this nation’s singular tradition. 11 11 See Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2126 (concluding that firearm regulation is only permissible when it “is consistent with this Nation’s historical tradition”); see also Dobbs, 142 S. Ct. at 2242 (denying the existence of a substantive due process right to abortion on the basis that “any such [unenumerated] right must be ‘deeply rooted in this Nation’s history and tradition’ and ‘implicit in the concept of ordered liberty’” (quoting Washington v. Glucksberg, 521 U.S. 702, 721 (1997))). ... Close This analysis raised equality concerns, which the Court addressed only implicitly—through “shadow” reasoning that resembled equal protection standards of review. 12 12 See Franklin, supra note 5, at 950 (describing “shadow decision points” as “generally unacknowledged, often outcome-determinative choices about how to interpret [the law] that are framed as methodological but that are typically fueled by substantive . . . concerns” (alterations in original) (internal quotation marks omitted) (quoting Cary Franklin, Living Textualism, 2020 Sup. Ct. Rev. 119, 126)); see also infra Part II (discussing how the Court’s reasoning resembles the application of equal protection standards of review). ... Close This Comment shows how Bruen and Dobbs applied this hidden equal protection analysis to create the illusion of a uniform historical tradition. Because the Court did not articulate a clear method for addressing these dual problems, the history and tradition test enabled the Court to quietly depart from modern sex equality precedent and undermine constitutional protections against sex-based discrimination. 13 13 See Franklin, supra note 5, at 951 (arguing that the Court has begun to silently “dismantle equal protection doctrine . . . in ways that can be hard to detect”); infra section II.B. ... Close

Part I begins by laying out the opposing traditions and hidden equality problems. Extending the first analytical step of Professor Franklin’s framework (determining “the relevant tradition”), 14 14 See Franklin, supra note 5, at 951 . ... Close Part I argues that Bruen and Dobbs each identified conflicting traditions but ultimately concluded that only one constituted “this Nation’s historical tradition.” 15 15 Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2126. ... Close This opposing traditions problem implicated race-based equality concerns in Bruen and sex-based equality concerns in Dobbs. Scholars have also recognized a baseline assumption in history and tradition cases that “this Nation’s historical tradition” should not incorporate laws that would be deemed unconstitutional today. 16 16 See, e.g., Franklin, supra note 5, at 951 (explaining that history and tradition cases require courts to determine whether the relevant “tradition is consistent with equal protection”); Siegel, How History and Tradition Perpetuates Inequality, supra note 1, at 932 (asserting that Justice Alito’s opinion in Dobbs“seemed to acknowledge that the legislation would have to rest on constitutional grounds if it were to constitute a tradition legitimating Roe’s reversal”). ... Close Since historical regulations may be shaped by discriminatory ideas, the Court makes determinations about whether the traditions it identifies are consistent with equal protection. 17 17 Franklin, supra note 5, at 951, 955. ... Close These evaluations are often unacknowledged and made “implicitly, with little or no analysis or justification.” 18 18 Id. at 951. ... Close This creates a hidden equality problem: The Court is hiding equality determinations in the shadow of history and tradition analysis.

Part II contributes to the newly developing literature on history and tradition cases by showing how the opposing traditions and hidden equality problems intersect. 19 19 For other scholars who have made similar arguments, see, e.g., id at 951 (identifying the “hiddenness problem,” on which this analysis builds); Siegel, How History and Tradition Perpetuates Inequality, supra note 1, at 906–07 (explaining that the “tradition-entrenching methods” employed in Bruen and Dobbs “provide[] new justifications for enforcing old forms of status inequality”). ... Close Bruen and Dobbs identified opposing traditions of gun and abortion regulation that implicated the Equal Protection Clause through race- and sex-based classifications. 20 20 See infra Part II. ... Close But in determining which of the conflicting historical traditions would constitute this nation’s singular tradition, the Court hid equality analysis behind its Second Amendment and Due Process Clause reasoning. 21 21 See Franklin, supra note 5, at 951 (arguing that courts are making equal protection determinations in substantive due process and Second Amendment cases “sub rosa”—“with little or no analysis”). ... Close Professor Franklin has argued that judges use “a multitude of doctrinal mechanisms” when conducting hidden equality analysis in history and tradition cases. 22 22 Id. at 952–53. ... Close Most notably, judges will “adjust the levels of generality at which they define the relevant historical tradition.” 23 23 Id. at 950. The levels of generality problem in history and tradition has been widely commented on outside the hidden equality context. See, e.g., United States v. Rahimi, 144 S. Ct. 1889, 1929 (2024) (Jackson, J., concurring) (noting that the outcome of Bruenanalysis depends in part on the level of generality applied); Brief of Second Amendment Law Scholars as Amici Curiae in Support of Petitioner at 7, 12, Rahimi, 144 S. Ct. 1889 (No. 22-915), 2023 WL 5489050 (urging the Court to clarify the level of generality at which courts should apply Bruen); Blocher & Ruben, supra note 1, at 121–22 (asserting that Bruen’s historical analogy test can lead to different outcomes based on the level of generality courts apply). ... Close This Comment offers a new framework to understand the Court’s implicit equality analysis in relation to its reasoning about opposing traditions. In Bruen, the Court struck past gun laws and practices out of this nation’s historical tradition by applying a hidden review of racial classifications that resembled strict scrutiny—labeled here “shadow strict scrutiny.” In Dobbs, the Court incorporated past abortion laws and practices into the historical tradition by applying a hidden review of sex-based classifications that resembled rational basis—labeled here “shadow rational basis.” These quiet determinations about equality enabled the Court to create the illusion of a uniform historical tradition.

This Comment reveals that Bruen and Dobbs failed to “adequately clarif[y]” how history and tradition cases should evaluate historical traditions that conflict or that raise equality concerns. 24 24 See Rahimi, 144 S. Ct. at 1926–29 (Jackson, J., concurring) (observing that Bruen’s history and tradition test left “many questions . . . unanswered”); Franklin, supra note 5, at 951 (finding that the equality determination in history and tradition cases is “often unarticulated”); infra Part I. ... Close If history and tradition are here to stay, 25 25 See Blocher & Ruben, supra note 1, at 111 (pointing to the Court’s recent history and tradition cases as “a harbinger of a broader change in the Supreme Court’s approach”). ... Close courts need a clear framework for addressing these inevitable and intertwined problems. By not articulating guidance, the Court quietly freed its evaluation of historical laws from the constraints of its equal protection precedents. 26 26 The new conservative majority’s understandings of equality may (Bruen) or may not (Dobbs) align with modern equal protection doctrine. See Franklin, supra note 5, at 953 (finding that Dobbs’s hidden equality determinations disregarded decades of sex-based equal protection precedent); infra Part II (further discussing the relationship between the reasoning in these cases and modern equal protection doctrine). ... Close As a matter of equality, Bruen’s shadow analysis of these laws reached the proper result. 27 27 If Justice Clarence Thomas made his equality analysis explicit, it would have been supported by the Court’s modern precedents, which apply strict scrutiny to racial classifications. See, e.g., Fisher v. Univ. of Tex. at Austin, 570 U.S. 297, 312–13 (2013); Adarand Constructors, Inc. v. Peña, 515 U.S. 200, 227 (1995)). A year after Bruen, the same majority described this strict scrutiny for racial discrimination as a “daunting” examination. See Students for Fair Admissions, Inc. v. President & Fellows of Harvard Coll., 143 S. Ct. 2141, 2162 (2023). ... Close Racially discriminatory gun laws clearly contravene modern equality doctrine and should be removed from the American constitutional tradition. 28 28 See infra section II.A; see also Winkler, supra note 1, at 537–38 (commenting on the racist history of gun laws). While this point about racially discriminatory disarmament laws is narrow, other scholars have explored Bruen’s racial justice implications more thoroughly. See, e.g., Daniel S. Harawa, NYSRPA v. Bruen: Weaponizing Race, 20 Ohio St. J. Crim. L. 163, 163 (2022) (arguing that Bruen appropriated racial justice to reshape Second Amendment rights); Danny Y. Li, Note, Antisubordinating the Second Amendment, 132 Yale L.J. 1821, 1829 (2023) (explaining that Bruen’s “methodological reliance on history and tradition calls into question virtually everything about our current gun-regulation schemes” and “renders Black communities less safe”). ... Close But in Dobbs, the shadow analysis reached the wrong result. The Court departed from its modern precedents in order to affirm discriminatory abortion laws that should be excluded from this nation’s tradition. 29 29 See infra section II.B (discussing the Court’s modern sex-based equal protection precedents). ... Close Without a framework requiring the Court to explicitly address the opposing traditions and hidden equality problems, the history and tradition test threatens to create the false appearance of a singular historical tradition by quietly undermining modern equal protection doctrine and “entrench[ing] inequality.” 30 30 Serena Mayeri, Reproductive Injustice, Feminist Resistance, and the Uses of History in Constitutional Interpretation 14 (U. of Pa. L. Sch., Pub. L. & Legal Theory Research Paper No. 25-01, 2025), https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5087522 [https://perma.cc/79CK-RRTS] (“Dobbs exposes how a selective history and tradition methodology operates not only to entrench inequality but to make hierarchy appear legitimate . . . .”); see also Franklin, supra note 5, at 951 (explaining that hidden equality determinations in history and tradition cases have begun to “dismantle equal protection doctrine . . . in ways that can be hard to detect”); Siegel, How History and Tradition Perpetuates Inequality, supra note 1, at 907 (arguing that the Court’s selective deferrals to the past in history and tradition cases enforce gendered inequality). ... Close

The history and tradition test has developed gradually over several decades, 31 31 Reva B. Siegel, The History of History and Tradition: The Roots of Dobbs’s Method (and Originalism) in the Defense of Segregation, 133 Yale L.J. Forum 99, 133–46 (2023), https://www.yalelawjournal.org/pdf/SiegelYLJForumEssay_8o3f7k4v.pdf [https://perma.cc/
9R5Y-CBDG] [hereinafter Siegel, History of History and Tradition] (describing the modern development of the history and tradition test). ... Close but today it focuses on determining which eighteenth- and nineteenth-century laws and practices comprise “this Nation’s historical tradition.” 32 32 N.Y. State Rifle & Pistol Ass’n v. Bruen, 142 S. Ct. 2111, 2126 (2022). ... Close In 2022, the Supreme Court embraced history and tradition as the key mode of constitutional interpretation in two landmark cases. 33 33 The Court additionally adopted a history and tradition test for the First Amendment Establishment Clause in a third case, Kennedy v. Bremerton Sch. Dist., 142 S. Ct. 2407 (2022), which is outside the scope of this Comment. ... Close Bruen required that laws regulating the Second Amendment right to bear arms be “consistent with this Nation’s historical tradition.” 34 34 142 S. Ct. at 2126. ... Close Applying this test, the Court struck down a New York concealed-carry law because the state failed to identify an American tradition justifying the law’s requirements. 35 35 Id. at 2156. ... Close Similarly, Dobbs adopted a test that required unenum-erated due process rights to be “deeply rooted in this Nation’s history and tradition” and “implicit in the concept of ordered liberty.” 36 36 142 S. Ct. 2228, 2242 (2022) (internal quotation marks omitted) (quoting Washington v. Glucksberg, 521 U.S. 702, 721 (1997)). ... Close Finding no tradition that supported a right to abortion, the Court overturned Roe v. Wade and Planned Parenthood of Southeastern Pennsylvania v. Casey. 37 37 See id. ... Close

The Court heralded the history and tradition test as an objective, neutral, and administrable means of interpretation. 38 38 See, e.g., id. (describing the purpose of the historical tradition test to seek out rights that are “objectively[] [and] deeply rooted” (quoting Glucksberg, 521 U.S. at 720–21)); id. at 2305, 2310 (Kavanaugh, J., concurring) (repeatedly describing history and tradition analysis as “properly return[ing] the Court to a position of judicial neutrality”); Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2129–30 (explaining that “reliance on history to inform the meaning of constitutional text . . . [is] more legitimate, and more administrable” than a “judge-empowering ‘interest-balancing inquiry’” (quoting District of Columbia v. Heller, 554 U.S. 570, 634 (2008))). ... Close While many scholars have critiqued this framing, 39 39 See, e.g., Franklin, supra note 5, at 947 n.8 (collecting sources about instances when the Court provided inaccurate history); Melissa Murray, Children of Men: The Roberts Court’s Jurisprudence of Masculinity, 60 Hous. L. Rev. 799, 857 (2023) (describing history and tradition analysis as an “expedition” in which courts cherry-pick facts); Siegel, History of History and Tradition, supra note 31, at 107–11, 133–46 (arguing that Dobbs’s analysis of history “serve[d] to veil rather than to constrain the interpreter’s values”); Tang, Lessons From Lawrence, supra note 4, at 67–68 (asserting that Dobbs’s count of states that historically banned all abortion “rests on a series of historical errors”); Mary Ziegler, The History of Neutrality: Dobbs and the Social-Movement Politics of History and Tradition, 133 Yale L.J. Forum 161, 188 (2023), https://www.yalelawjournal.org/pdf/F8.ZieglerFinalDraftforWeb_
1gycmvnb.pdf [https://perma.cc/RVC9-D4H3] [hereinafter Ziegler, History of Neutrality] (criticizing history and tradition for “disregard[ing] consensus positions among historians”). ... Close this Comment focuses narrowly on two issues raised in Bruen and Dobbs, which it labels the “opposing traditions problem” and the “hidden equality problem.” Neither problem is expressly acknowledged, but their resolutions critically shaped the Court’s reasoning. Sections I.A and I.B explore each problem in turn.

In Bruen and Dobbs, the Court’s discussion of historical laws and practices revealed opposing traditions that raised equality concerns. 40 40 Analyzing cases prior to Bruen and Dobbs, Professor Darrell A.H. Miller likewise recognized that the Court’s earlier appeals to tradition led to the issue of “conflicting traditions.” See Darrell A.H. Miller, Second Amendment Traditionalism and Desuetude, 14 Geo. J.L. & Pub. Pol’y 223, 225–26 (2016). Professor Miller explained that the Court has attempted to resolve these conflicts in the Seventh Amendment context through “through a combination of analogical reasoning and policy considerations.” Darrell A.H. Miller, Text, History, and Tradition: What the Seventh Amendment Can Teach Us About the Second, 122 Yale L.J. 852, 884 (2013). ... Close In Bruen, opposing traditions of gun regulation and public carry implicated racial discrimination. 41 41 See Blocher & Ruben, supra note 1, at 160 (explaining that Bruen’s historical-analogical method suffers from the problem of having to account for divergent state protections for gun rights). ... Close In Dobbs, opposing traditions of criminalizing and permitting abortion implicated sex-based discrimination. 42 42 See Tang, Lessons From Lawrence, supra note 4, at 84–85 (highlighting an “unbroken” historical tradition of states permitting abortion that is “contradictory” to the “unbroken tradition” of punishing abortion described in Dobbs). ... Close While the Court did not acknowledge these conflicts directly, the history and tradition test inherently demanded that the Court resolve them by identifying a “definitive, singular historical tradition” 43 43 Id. at 92 (discussing the same history and tradition test in Dobbs); see also Blocher & Ruben, supra note 1, at 160 (suggesting that courts conducting Bruen’s history and tradition test must have some doctrinal solution to solve issues like historical variations). ... Close —or, in Justice Thomas’s words, “this Nation’s historical tradition.” 44 44 N.Y. State Rifle & Pistol Ass’n v. Bruen, 142 S. Ct. 2111, 2126 (2022). Justice Thomas similarly emphasized this idea of identifying a singular tradition—one that masks conflicting historical laws—by stating that implementing the Second Amendment demands deference to the “balance[] struck by the traditions of the American people.” Id. at 2131. ... Close The Court did so by affirming one of the opposing traditions it identified and striking out the other. 45 45 In their discussion of Bruen’s historical-analogical method, Professors Blocher and Ruben address a similar, but more general, “variations” problem—that “different approaches [are] taken in different places.” Blocher & Ruben, supra note 1, at 156. They suggest that the “most obvious doctrinal solution is to adjust the level of generality” of a court’s inquiry. Id. at 160. This Comment focuses on a narrower problem: traditions that stand in direct conflict. It shows that when the Court has identified conflicting traditions, it has selected one to form the basis of a singular historical tradition and dismissed the other. ... Close

In Bruen, the Court held that New York’s concealed-carry licensing regime violated the Second Amendment and adopted a new test for evaluating firearm laws. 46 46 See Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2122 (declining to adopt a two-step, means–end scrutiny that had been previously applied by lower courts). ... Close Justice Clarence Thomas’s majority opinion declared that the government must justify such laws by demonstrating that they are “consistent with this Nation’s historical tradition of firearm regulation.” 47 47 Id. at 2126. ... Close This requires the government to “identify a well-established and representative historical analogue” that is “relevantly similar” to a modern regulation. 48 48 Id. at 2132–33 (emphasis omitted). ... Close

While it did not acknowledge the conflict outright, Justice Thomas’s historical analysis identified both a tradition of regulating firearms and an opposing tradition of public carry. His “long journey through the Anglo-American history of public carry” included a discussion of historical laws implicating equality concerns related to Black Americans’ right to bear arms. 49 49 Id. at 2111, 2150–52, 2156. ... Close Justice Thomas acknowledged that “free blacks were often denied [this right] in antebellum America” and that “the exercise of this fundamental right by freed slaves was systematically thwarted” after the Civil War. 50 50 Id. at 2150–51. ... Close He framed this history of disarmament both in contrast to examples of Black people publicly carrying weapons for defense and as inspiration for legislative action extending gun rights to freedmen. 51 51 Id. at 2151–52. ... Close Justice Thomas described 1866 reports that indicated Black people “indeed carried arms publicly for their self-protection” and framed Congress’s 1868 extension of the Freedmen’s Bureau Act as “reaffirm[ing] that freedmen were entitled to the ‘full and equal benefit of all laws and proceedings concerning personal liberty [and] personal security . . . including the constitutional right to keep and bear arms.’” 52 52   Id. (second and third alterations in original) (emphasis omitted) (quoting Freedmen’s Bureau Act § 14, 14 Stat. 176 (1866)). ... Close He thus laid out opposing traditions of gun regulation for nineteenth-century Black Americans. However, the Court concluded that respondents had not identified a historical tradition of prohibiting public carry. 53 53 Id. at 2156. Against this finding, the Court’s conclusion did acknowledge exceptions: “a few late-19th-century outlier jurisdictions” and “a few late-in-time outliers.” Id. However, the Court did not include the history of racially discriminatory disarmament laws among these outliers. Id. ... Close Bruen instead held that the Second Amendment “guarantee[s] to ‘all Americans’” a right to carry arms for self-defense inside and outside the home. 54 54 Id. at 2122, 2156. ... Close

In Dobbs, the Court revived a narrow framing of history and tradition in order to overrule Roe and Casey. 55 55 Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Org., 142 S. Ct. 2228, 2242 (2022). ... Close In his majority opinion, Justice Samuel Alito stated that the Due Process Clause only protects unenumerated rights that are “deeply rooted in this Nation’s history and tradition” and “implicit in the concept of ordered liberty.” 56 56 Id. (internal quotation marks omitted) (quoting Washington v. Glucksberg, 521 U.S. 702, 721 (1997)). ... Close The Court then undertook a discussion of historical abortion laws in which it found that “three-quarters of the States had made abortion a crime at any stage of pregnancy” when the Fourteenth Amendment was adopted. 57 57 Id. at 2248–49. But see Aaron Tang, After Dobbs: History, Tradition, and the Uncertain Future of a Nationwide Abortion Ban, 75 Stan. L. Rev. 1091, 1128–50 (2023) (providing historical evidence that refutes Dobbs’s calculation that “three-quarters of the States” banned abortion at that time (internal quotation marks omitted) (quoting Dobbs, 142 S. Ct. at 2242–43, 2248, 2252–53, 2256)). ... Close In contrast, the Court also acknowledged that nine out of thirty-seven states allowed abortion at that time 58 58 Dobbs, 142 S. Ct. at 2253, 2255. ... Close and that “many States in the late 18th and early 19th century did not criminalize pre-quickening abortions.” 59 59 Id. at 2252–53, 2255. ... Close The Court thus recognized opposing traditions of criminalizing and permitting abortion. Despite this, the Court ignored the latter history and reached the “inescapable conclusion” that the right to abortion has “no basis” in the nation’s history and traditions. 60 60 Id. at 2253, 2283. ... Close Instead, the Court found an “unbroken tradition” of criminalizing abortion “from the earliest days of the common law until 1973.” 61 61 Id. at 2253–54. ... Close

The second concern with history and tradition analysis is the Court’s failure to explain how it makes equality determinations about past laws. As Professors Reva Siegel and Aaron Tang have argued, the Court assumes that historical laws and practices must rest on constitutional grounds in order to constitute a tradition. 62 62 Siegel, How History and Tradition Perpetuates Inequality, supra note 1, at 932 (asserting that Justice Alito’s opinion in Dobbs “seemed to acknowledge that the legislation would have to rest on constitutional grounds if it were to constitute a tradition legitimating Roe’s reversal”); see also Franklin, supra note 5, at 951 (explaining that history and tradition requires courts to determine whether a relevant “tradition is consistent with equal protection”). ... Close Analyzing this assumption, Professor Franklin has outlined three main equality concerns inherent in history and tradition cases. First, after courts identify a relevant tradition, they then engage in a second step, which is “often unarticulated” and “value-laden,” in order to determine “whether that tradition is consistent with Equal Protection.” 63 63 Franklin, supra note 5, at 951. ... Close Second, because history and tradition are analyzed in cases about substantive due process, the First Amendment, or the Second Amendment—instead of equal protection—courts are making constitutional equality determinations “invisibly or implicitly, with little or no analysis or justification.” 64 64 Id. ... Close Third, by hiding these equality determinations in history and tradition analysis, the Court has begun to silently “dismantle equal protection doctrine” in “ways that can be hard to detect.” 65 65 Id. ... Close Building on Professor Franklin’s framework, Part II highlights passages in Bruen and Dobbs that reveal how the Court employed shadow equal protection analysis to construct the illusion of a uniform historical tradition.

The opposing traditions and hidden equality problems intersect in Bruen and Dobbs. This Comment uncovers how the Court quietly reasoned through equal protection considerations to determine which of the opposing traditions it identified would constitute this nation’s singular historical tradition. Professor Franklin explained that the “history and tradition test incorporates a range of [doctrinal] mechanisms” to produce outcomes adhering to the Court’s modern understandings of equality. 66 66 Id. at 955. ... Close One such mechanism is conducting hidden equality determinations by changing the level of generality. 67 67 Id. at 946–47. ... Close Professor Franklin found that “the Justices will break with history and tradition when old practices violate their (twenty-first-century) notions of equality, but will hew closely to tradition in cases where they continue to find the old-style regulation tolerable from an equality standpoint.” 68 68 Id. at 978; see also Siegel, How History and Tradition Perpetuates Inequality, supra note 1, at 906 (arguing that the conservative Justices repudiated past practices that “expressed racism or nativism to which [they] objected” and did not scrutinize evidence about past practices that enforce sex-based stereotyping). ... Close

This Comment offers an alternative mechanism. It argues that the unarticulated reasoning Bruen and Dobbs used to “break with” or “hew closely to” history and tradition resembled equal protection analysis. 69 69 Franklin, supra note 5, at 950, 978. ... Close The Court broke with a historical tradition by applying a hidden review resembling strict scrutiny—labeled here “shadow strict scrutiny.” It hewed closely to a historical tradition by applying a hidden review resembling rational basis––“shadow rational basis.” The Court made these hidden equality determinations in order to evaluate which of the conflicting traditions it would strike out of or incorporate into this nation’s historical tradition. Thus, the Court resolved the opposing traditions problem through a hidden equal protection analysis.

Section II.A argues that Bruen’s analysis of gun traditions employed a shadow strict scrutiny review to historical regulations that discriminated on the basis of race. 70 70 While outside the scope of this Comment, the Court was again confronted with these discriminatory gun laws in United States v. Rahimi, 144 S. Ct. 1889 (2024). During oral argument, Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson suggested that there may be a “flaw” in the history and tradition framework “to the extent that when we’re looking at history and tradition, we’re not considering the history and tradition of all of the people but only some of the people.” Transcript of Oral Argument at 54, Rahimi, 144 S. Ct. (No. 22-915), 2023 WL 9375567. These remarks addressed head-on that history and tradition analysis may require the Court to exclude “the tradition with respect to slaves and Native Americans,” while “count[ing] underneath this historic traditions test” “only the regulation[s]” that pertain to “certain segments of society.” Id. at 53 (statement of Jackson, J.). The colloquy did not go much further into this distinction, though, as then-Solicitor General Elizabeth Prelogar argued the former laws were not “a part of history that are directly relevant to the separate question at issue here.” Id. at 54. ... Close This aligned with the evolution of race-based equality doctrine, which centers the original meaning of the Fourteenth Amendment as eliminating racial discrimination. 71 71 In Students for Fair Admissions, Inc. v. President & Fellows of Harvard College, the same majority that decided Bruen reviewed many precedents affirming the use of the demanding strict scrutiny standard in racial discrimination cases and interpreting the original meaning of the Fourteenth Amendment as aimed at eliminating race-based distinctions. See 143 S. Ct. 2141, 2161–62 (2023) (discussing, inter alia, Grutter v. Bollinger, 539 U.S. 306, 326 (2003); Adarand Constructors, Inc. v. Peña, 515 U.S. 200, 227 (1995); Palmore v. Sidoti, 466 U.S. 429, 432 (1984); McLaughlin v. Florida, 379 U.S. 184, 192 (1964)). ... Close If Justice Thomas had made his historical equality analysis explicit, he would not have needed to depart from the Court’s modern precedents. 72 72 See Adarand Constructors, 515 U.S. at 206–07 (laying out the Court’s precedents and standard of review for racial classifications). ... Close This analysis ultimately reached the proper result: Racially discriminatory disarmament laws are incompatible with equal protection doctrine and should not be incor-porated into America’s historical tradition. 73 73 See Winkler, supra note 1, at 539 (describing the racist history of gun laws as a “special dilemma” for history and tradition analysis given that the “Constitution’s guarantee of equal protection prohibits racially discriminatory gun laws just as it bars other types of racially discriminatory laws”). This Comment’s argument about Bruen’s proper treatment of these historical disarmament laws is fairly narrow. For a broader discussion of Bruen’s implications for racial justice, see Harawa, supra note 28, at 171–72 (arguing that Bruen’s “methodological choices allowed it to claim a racial justice mantle . . . [by] vindicating the rights of the ancestors without considering what the decision would mean for their progeny”); Li, supra note 28, at 1829 (observing that Bruen’s jurisprudence “deprives Black communities of the capacity to secure for themselves the conditions of equal public safety—all in the name of Founding Era history and tradition”). ... Close Nevertheless, the Court’s failure to articulate a method for analyzing historical equality consid-erations freed other history and tradition cases to deviate from equal protection precedents.

Section II.B argues that Dobbs’s analysis of abortion traditions applied a shadow rational basis review to historical regulations that made sex-based classifications. 74 74 The Court suggested that these nineteenth-century laws did not classify on the basis of sex, but the Court ignored evidence that these laws were motivated by invidious sex-role stereotyping (in enforcing women’s marital roles) that would be constitutionally suspect under modern sex-equality doctrine. Cary Franklin & Reva Siegel, Equality Emerges as a Ground for Abortion Rights in and After Dobbs, in Roe v. Dobbs: The Past, Present, and Future of a Constitutional Right to Abortion 22, 35–36 (Lee C. Bollinger & Geoffrey R. Stone eds., 2024). ... Close This analysis departed from the modern development of sex-based equality doctrine under United States v. Virginia 75 75 518 U.S. 515 (1996). ... Close and Nevada Department of Human Resources v. Hibbs. 76 76 538 U.S. 721 (2003). ... Close These cases repudiated the nation’s “long and unfortunate history of sex discrimination,” 77 77 Virginia, 518 U.S. at 531 (internal quotation marks omitted) (quoting Frontiero v. Richardson, 411 U.S. 677, 684 (1973)). ... Close superseded the reasoning in Geduldig v. Aiello, 78 78 417 U.S. 484 (1974). Geduldig held that pregnancy was not a sex-based class-ification under the Equal Protection Clause. Id. at 485. Franklin and Siegel argue that the Court’s experience enforcing the Pregnancy Discrimination Act—which repudiated Geduldig—led to holdings in Virginia and Hibbs that superseded Geduldig’s reasoning. See Franklin & Siegel, supra note 74, at 27–30. ... Close and established that heightened scrutiny applies to laws that regulate pregnancy. 79 79 See Virginia, 518 U.S. at 532–33 (establishing a “heightened review standard” for sex-based classifications); Franklin & Siegel, supra note 74, at 26–30 (arguing that Virginia and Hibbs require laws regulating pregnancy to “be closely scrutinized to ensure they do not stereotype, reinforce traditional assumptions about women’s roles, or perpetuate women’s second-class standing”). ... Close However, in determining that abortion regulations do not make sex-based class-ifications, Justice Alito quietly swept Virginia and Hibbs under the rug. 80 80 See Franklin & Siegel, supra note 74, at 30 (describing the modern equal protection standard for laws regulating pregnancy and explaining how Justice Alito ignored the “rise of sex discrimination law”). ... Close Because this equality analysis was mostly implicit, he provided no expla-nation for this departure. Therein lies the danger of the opposing traditions and hidden equality problems. To create the illusion of a uniform historical tradition, the Court makes necessary equality determinations about historical laws without explicit reasoning. While those determinations aligned with race-based equal protection doctrine in Bruen, they under-mined sex-based equal protection doctrine in Dobbs.

In Bruen, Justice Thomas’s account of the history of public carry in America exposed opposing traditions of a right to public carry and reg-ulations of that right. These opposing traditions were particularly clear in Justice Thomas’s discussion of race in the antebellum and Reconstruction eras. 81 81 See N.Y. State Rifle & Pistol Ass’n v. Bruen, 142 S. Ct. 2111, 2150–52 (2022). ... Close Similar to his McDonald v. City of Chicago concurrence, 82 82 See Siegel, How History and Tradition Perpetuates Inequality, supra note 1, at 915 (“[Justice Thomas’s] McDonald concurrence chronicles the many forms of violent racial domination that American law has licensed and calls for their repudiation and repair through expansive recognition of Second Amendment rights that will secure the equal citizenship of Blacks . . . .” (citing McDonald v. City of Chicago, 561 U.S. 742, 827, 855–58 (2010) (Thomas, J., concuring in part and concurring in the judgment))). ... Close Justice Thomas acknowledged the substantial history of nineteenth-century disarmament laws that expressly discriminated on the basis of race. 83 83 See Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2150–52 (referencing the “‘systematic efforts’ made to disarm [Black people]” noted in McDonald (quoting McDonald, 561 U.S. at 771)). For further reference on the racist history of gun laws, see Winkler, supra note 1, at 537 (“For much of American history, gun rights did not extend to Black people and gun control was often enacted to limit access to guns by people of color.”). ... Close However, he did not frame these laws as contributing to this nation’s historical tradition. Rather, he contrasted them with an opposing tradition constructed from the practices of Black people carrying firearms in public for self-defense and laws repudiating race-based disarmament. 84 84 See Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2150–52 (framing racially discriminatory gun laws alongside and as the impetus for laws and statements that rebuked these racist laws). ... Close Justice Thomas concluded that respondents had failed to identify a tradition of prohibiting public carry. 85 85 See id. at 2156. ... Close He thus struck out the history of racially discriminatory disarmament laws without a clear explanation. 86 86 See id. After recounting a long history of public carry, Justice Thomas wrote a short summary paragraph reaching the conclusion that there was no tradition regulating public carry. Id. This summary referenced several previously discussed laws that regulated public carry, but he dismissed these as “outliers.” Id. However, this summary and the “outliers” neither referenced the racially discriminatory gun laws nor provided a basis for excluding them. See id. ... Close Implicit in his resolution of these opposing traditions was a hidden equal protection analysis. This reasoning resembled a fatal, strict scrutiny review of his-torical race-based classifications, mirroring that which the Court applies to equal protection cases today. 87 87 Franklin, supra note 5, at 972–73 (arguing that Justice Thomas suggested that allowing racially discriminatory gun regulations from the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries “to persist into the present day would violate equal protection”). A year after Bruen, the same majority found that the Court’s precedents “repeatedly reaffirmed” that racial classifications receive a strict scrutiny review that would be fatal to the vast majority of such laws. See Students for Fair Admissions, Inc. v. President & Fellows of Harvard Coll., 143 S. Ct. 2141, 2168 (2023) (“As this Court has repeatedly reaffirmed, ‘[r]acial classifications are simply too pernicious to permit any but the most exact connection between justification and classification.’” (alteration in original) (quoting Gratz v. Bollinger, 539 U.S. 244, 270 (2003))). ... Close The following three passages from Bruen highlight this shadow analysis.

First, discussing the postbellum period, Justice Thomas referenced the history of “Southern abuses violating blacks’ right to keep and bear arms,” as described in McDonald. 88 88 Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2151. It is noteworthy that Justice Thomas here repeatedly cited his concurrence and Justice Alito’s majority opinion in McDonald, in which both discuss the history of racist efforts to disarm Black people. See McDonald, 561 U.S. at 771 (describing “systematic efforts . . . to disarm” Black Americans after the Civil War); id. at 845–47 (Thomas, J., concurring in part and concurring in the judgment) (demonstrating that “Southern legislatures . . . [took] particularly vicious aim at the rights of free blacks and slaves to speak or to keep and bear arms for their defense”). Justice Thomas’s opinion in Bruen mirrored some of Justice Alito’s opinion in McDonald—both frame laws that disarmed Southern Black people after the Civil War as “help[ing] to inspire the adoption of the Fourteenth Amendment.” Winkler, supra note 1, at 547 (citing McDonald, 561 U.S. at 745). This further shows how Justice Thomas sees the Fourteenth Amendment, which secured equal citizenship for Black (male) Americans and guaranteed equal protection of the laws, U.S. Const. amend XIV, as striking out these discriminatory laws from this nation’s historical tradition. ... Close For example, Justice Thomas stated that local enforcement of nineteenth-century concealed-carry laws in Florida “discriminated against blacks” and quoted an official’s statement: “Why is this poor fellow fined for an offence which is committed hourly by every other white man I meet in the streets?” 89 89 Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2152 n.27 (internal quotation marks omitted) (quoting H.R. Exec. Doc. No. 57, 40th Cong., 2d Sess., 83 (1867)). ... Close Here, Justice Thomas explicitly acknowledged that Florida’s law discriminated on the basis of race. He explained that this prohibition on concealed carry was not “applied equally, even when under federal scrutiny.” 90 90 Id. ... Close In doing so, Justice Thomas expressed clearly, though not explicitly, that this law would fail modern equal protection review. This provides a strong example of Justice Thomas’s application of shadow strict scrutiny to historical racial classifications.

Second, Justice Thomas’s discussion of South Carolina’s Black Codes, which “prohibited firearm possession by blacks,” also suggested a fatal-in-fact strict scrutiny. 91 91 See id. at 2152. ... Close Justice Thomas presented a historical law—the Black Codes—that he defined as racially discriminatory. He seemed to acknowledge the law’s apparent unconstitutionality by stating it was “pre-empt[ed]” by an 1866 decree issued by General Sickles. 92 92 Id. ... Close He then doubled down on the impermissibility of this classification by quoting Sickles: “The constitutional rights of all loyal and well-disposed inhabitants to bear arms will not be infringed . . . .” 93 93 Id. at 2188 (emphasis added) (internal quotation marks omitted) (quoting Cong. Globe, 39th Cong., 1st Sess. 908 (1866)). ... Close Affirming the Sickles decree, Justice Thomas struck the Black Codes out of this nation’s historical tradition and, instead, affirmed an opposing tradition that rejected these racist laws.

Third, Justice Thomas emphasized quotations from a Black-owned newspaper that called attention to the racially discriminatory nature of historical gun laws. 94 94 See id. at 2152. ... Close He quoted the paper’s editors in stating that Black people had “the same right to own and carry fire arms that other citizens have.” 95 95 Id. (internal quotation marks omitted) (quoting Editorial, Have Colored Persons a Right to Own and Carry Fire Arms?, Loyal Georgian, Feb. 3, 1866, https://gahistoricnewspapers.galileo.usg.edu/lccn/sn82016224/1866-02-03/ed-1/seq-3/ [https://perma.cc/8YUV-RYPV]). ... Close This comparison highlighted racial classifications in gun laws between Black people and “other citizens.” 96 96 See id. (emphasis omitted) (internal quotation marks omitted). ... Close He further quoted the editors, who, borrowing from the Freedmen’s Bureau, stated, “‘[a]ny person, white or black, may be disarmed if convicted of making an improper or dangerous use of weapons,’ even though ‘no military or civil officer has the right or authority to disarm any class of people.’” 97 97 Id. (first alteration in original) (emphasis added) (quoting Editorial, Have Colored Persons a Right to Own and Carry Fire Arms?, Loyal Georgian, Feb. 3, 1866,  https://gahistoricnewspapers.galileo.usg.edu/lccn/sn82016224/1866-02-03/ed-1/seq-3/ [https://perma.cc/8YUV-RYPV]). ... Close By evoking equal protection treatment of racial classifications, Justice Thomas framed the expansion of gun rights to Black people as arising from the repudiation of racial discrimination. This, too, created an equal protection basis for silently striking racially discriminatory gun laws out of America’s historical tradition.

Justice Thomas ultimately held that this nation has no “tradition of broadly prohibiting the public carry of commonly used firearms for self-defense.” 98 98 Id. at 2138. ... Close He reached this conclusion by reasoning about equal protection in the shadows of history and tradition. 99 99 Franklin, supra note 5, at 972–73 (asserting that Justice Thomas suggested in his discussion of historical racist gun laws “that allowing such tainted regulation to persist into the present day would violate equal protection”). ... Close Justice Thomas excluded a tradition of racially discriminatory gun laws and affirmed an opposing tradition that rejected them. 100 100 In several other instances, the Roberts Court has similarly repudiated historical racist practices, even facially race-neutral ones, that it now views as abhorrent. See id. at 972 (discussing how Ramos v. Louisiana, 140 S. Ct. 1390 (2020), and Justice Thomas’s dissent in Obergefell v. Hodges, 576 U.S. 644 (2015), condemned past laws that reinforced racial inequality). ... Close This shadow strict scrutiny review of racially discriminatory gun laws is, of course, consistent with the modern evolution of the equal protection doctrine. 101 101 Just a year after Bruen, the same majority found that the Court’s precedents “repeatedly reaffirmed” the application of strict scrutiny because “[r]acial classifications are simply too pernicious to permit any but the most exact connection between justification and classification.” Students for Fair Admissions, Inc. v. President & Fellows of Harvard Coll., 143 S. Ct. 2141, 2166, 2168 (2023) (alteration in original) (internal quotation marks omitted) (quoting Gratz v. Bollinger, 539 U.S. 244, 270 (2003)). ... Close The Court’s treatment of racial discrimination today is based on an originalist reading of the Equal Protection Clause that rejects race-based state action except in the most extraordinary cases. 102 102 See id. at 2161 (explaining that the core guarantee of equal protection derives from its original meaning, the “historical fact . . . that the central purpose of the Fourteenth Amendment was to eliminate racial discrimination” (internal quotation marks omitted) (quoting McLaughlin v. Florida, 379 U.S. 184, 192 (1964))). ... Close The danger of Bruen’s hidden equal protection analysis, therefore, is not in departing from the Court’s well-established jurisprudence on race. 103 103 See id. at 2149 (describing the “core purpose” of the Equal Protection Clause as eliminating “all governmentally imposed discrimination based on race” (internal quotation marks omitted) (quoting Palmore v. Sidoti, 466 U.S. 429, 432 (1984))). ... Close Rather, by not explicitly articulating a framework to address these historical equality decisions in Bruen, the Court preserved for itself the ability to deviate from equal protection precedent in other history and tradition cases. 104 104 See Siegel, How History and Tradition Perpetuates Inequality, supra note 1, at 906, 913–20 (“[T]hese Justices’ allegiance to past practice breaks down at exactly those points where past practice is rooted in commitments that the Justices abhor.”). ... Close

In Dobbs, the Court’s hidden equality analysis departed from modern equal protection doctrine in order to create the illusion of a singular historical tradition. 105 105 Id. ... Close The Court’s discussion of historical abortion laws revealed opposing traditions of criminalizing and permitting abortion. 106 106 See supra section I.A. ... Close After considering these competing traditions, the Court ultimately concluded that the right to abortion “has no basis . . . in our Nation’s history” and instead affirmed an “unbroken tradition” of criminal abortion prohibitions. 107 107 Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Org., 142 S. Ct. 2228, 2253, 2283 (2022) (emphasis added). ... Close The Court’s reasoning suggests that it resolved the opposing traditions problem through a hidden equal protection analysis. The Court applied a shadow rational basis review to sex-based classifications in order to incorporate laws criminalizing abortion into the nation’s historical tradition. 108 108 Rational basis review is “most deferential to the state” and creates “a ‘strong presumption of validity.’” Murray, supra note 39, at 837–38 (quoting Dobbs, 142 S. Ct. at 2284). ... Close

In dicta, Dobbs tersely rejected the theory that the Equal Protection Clause protects the right to abortion—calling it “squarely foreclosed by [the Court’s] precedents.” 109 109 Dobbs, 142 S. Ct. at 2245–46. But see Reva B. Siegel, Serena Mayeri & Melissa Murray, Equal Protection in Dobbs and Beyond: How States Protect Life Inside and Outside of the Abortion Context, 43 Colum. J. Gender & L. 67, 68–69 (2022)  (explaining that the Court did not engage with the equal protection precedents cited by the authors in their amicus brief). ... Close The Court asserted that the regulation of abortion is “not a sex-based classification” and thus does not trigger the “‘heightened scrutiny’ that applies to such classifications.” 110 110 Dobbs, 142 S. Ct. at 2245. ... Close Citing Geduldig v. Aiello, the Court suggested that heightened scrutiny would only apply if an abortion regulation was motivated by “invidious discrimination against members of one sex.” 111 111 Id. at 2246 (internal quotation marks omitted) (quoting Geduldig v. Aiello, 417 U.S. 484, 496 n.20 (1974)). In Geduldig, the Court held that pregnancy does not constitute a sex-based classification under the Equal Protection Clause. 417 U.S. at 494–95. ... Close But, the Court clarified, the “‘goal of preventing abortion’ does not constitute ‘[such] animus’ against women.” 112 112 Dobbs, 142 S. Ct. at 2246 (quoting Bray v. Alexandria Women’s Health Clinic, 506 U.S. 263, 273–74 (1993)). ... Close The Court further stated that “laws regulating or prohibiting abortion . . . are governed by the same standard of review as other health and safety measures.” 113 113 Id. ... Close The Court was not direct about this standard of review. Rather, in footnote eighteen, the Court pointed to part VI of the opinion, in which it clarified that “rational-basis review is the appropriate standard for such challenges.” 114 114 Id. at 2246 n.18, 2283. ... Close In sum, the Court declared that abortion regulations do not discriminate against women and, thus, are subject to rational basis review under the Equal Protection Clause.

While dicta, this paragraph evinced an unmistakable refusal to engage with the construction of modern sex equality law over the past half century. 115 115 See Franklin, supra note 5, at 953 (arguing that Dobbs’s suggestion that “laws banning abortion raise no equality concerns . . . disregards half a century of legal development in the context of equal protection and the construction of an equality-based body of law limiting how the state may regulate pregnancy”). ... Close By reviving Geduldig, Justice Alito ignored later cases—United States v. Virginia 116 116 518 U.S. 515 (1996). ... Close and Nevada Department of Human Resources v. Hibbs 117 117 538 U.S. 721 (2003). ... Close —that many scholars believed had superseded Geduldig and rendered it a “constitutional relic.” 118 118 See, e.g., Franklin, supra note 5, at 984. This argument was presented to the Court in an amicus brief. See Siegel et al., supra note 109, at 69. During oral argument in United States v. Skrmetti, pending at the time of publication, Justice Alito made his view that Geduldig was “reaffirmed in Dobbs in 2022” abundantly clear. Transcript of Oral Argument at 21, United States v. Skrmetti, No. 23-477 (U.S. argued Dec. 4, 2024), 2024 WL 4989203. ... Close Justice Alito’s invocation of the Court’s 1974 opinion in Geduldig also suggested an intent to return equal protection doctrine to a time before the Court began formally subjecting sex-based state action to heightened scrutiny. 119 119 SeeFranklin, supra note 5, at 953–54 (arguing that Dobbs’s failure to acknowledge the development of sex-equality law “covertly undermines decades of legal precedent”); Siegel et al., supra note 109, at 69 (arguing that Justice Alito’s failure to discuss key equal protection precedents suggested “an unwillingness to recognize the last half century of sex equality law”). The Court formally recognized that heightened scrutiny applied to sex-based discrimination in 1976. See Craig v. Boren, 429 U.S. 190, 197–99 (1976) (“To withstand constitutional challenge, previous cases establish that classifications by gender must serve important governmental objectives and must be substantially related to achievement of those objectives.”). ... Close Because this equality analysis is mostly implicit, it remains to be seen whether this represented his openness to lowering the standard of review for all sex-based discrimination—a position which would be in accord with Justice Antonin Scalia’s dissent in Virginia. 120 120 See Virginia, 518 U.S. at 574–75 (Scalia, J., dissenting) (arguing that reducing the standard of review for sex-based classifications to rational basis “has a firmer foundation in our past jurisprudence” and “would be much more in accord with the genesis of heightened standards of judicial review”). ... Close

While this opening salvo is not a binding holding, 121 121 Because no Equal Protection claim was asserted in Dobbs, this paragraph was purely dicta. Franklin & Siegel, supra note 74, at 23. ... Close it nonetheless established the spirit of the due process analysis to follow and implicitly freed the Court to evaluate history and tradition without regard to modern equality doctrine. 122 122 See Siegel et al., supra note 109, at 69 (asserting that Justice Alito’s “unwillingness to recognize the last half century of sex equality law” expressed “a spirit that finds many forms of expression in the opinion’s due process analysis”). ... Close To avoid addressing the potentially discriminatory basis for historical laws criminalizing abortion, the Court silently applied a shadow rational basis review.

The Court’s hidden equality analysis primarily occurred in its discussion of the amicus brief filed by the American Historical Association and Organization of American Historians (“Historians’ Brief”). 123 123 See Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Org., 142 S. Ct. 2228, 2255–56 (2022). ... Close According to Justice Alito, the Historians’ Brief suggested that criminal abortion statutes in effect when the Fourteenth Amendment was ratified were “enacted for illegitimate reasons.” 124 124 Id. at 2255. ... Close Justice Alito’s language here relegated a necessary equality determination about past sex-based discrimination to the shadows. His framing of “illegitimate reasons” hid what the brief, in fact, described as “[d]iscriminatory” and “[c]onstitutionally [i]mpermissible [m]otives.” 125 125 Brief for Amici Curiae American Historical Association and Organization of American Historians in Support of Respondents at 18, 20, Dobbs, 142 S. Ct. 2242 (No. 19-1392) [hereinafter Dobbs Historians’ Brief]. ... Close Justice Alito further claimed that the historians made this argument to “tr[y] to dismiss the significance” of the criminal abortion laws. 126 126 Dobbs, 142 S. Ct. at 2255. ... Close In doing so, he subtly acknowledged the need to determine whether these laws would be constitutionally permissible and, thus, whether they could be incorporated into this nation’s historical tradition. 127 127 See Siegel, How History and Tradition Perpetuates Inequality, supra note 1, at 932 (“Justice Alito acknowledged that historians had [shown] that nineteenth-century abortion statutes were enacted for both constitutional and unconstitutional reasons. He responded in ways that seemed to acknowledge that the legislation would have to rest on constitutional grounds . . . to constitute a tradition legitimating Roe’s reversal.”). ... Close

Justice Alito then called attention to two motivations for these criminal abortion laws presented in the Historians’ Brief: “the fear that Catholic immigrants were having more babies than Protestants and that the availability of abortion was leading White Protestant women to ‘shir[k their] maternal duties.’” 128 128 Dobbs, 142 S. Ct. at 2255 (alteration in original) (quoting Dobbs Historians’ Brief, supra note 125, at 20). ... Close Under modern equal protection standards, this invocation of sex-role stereotyping would trigger heightened scrutiny. 129 129 See Siegel et al., supra note 109, at 70, 79–81 (arguing that modern equal protection doctrine requires laws that discriminate on the basis of pregnancy be subjected to intermediate scrutiny, “just like any other sex-based state action”); see also Franklin & Siegel, supra note 74, at 26–30 (asserting that modern equal protection doctrine under Virginia and Hibbs supersedes Geduldig and instead requires laws regulating pregnancy to be “closely scrutinized to ensure they do not stereotype, reinforce traditional assumptions about women’s roles, or perpetuate women’s second-class standing”). ... Close While Justice Alito did not expressly acknowledge an equal protection problem with these laws, the motivations posed by the Historians’ Brief gave him reason to further evaluate the (obvious) equality implications. 130 130 See Siegel, How History and Tradition Perpetuates Inequality, supra note 1, at 932 (“[Justice Alito] embraced and endorsed the nineteenth-century abortion bans, despite their nativism and sexism.”). ... Close

Justice Alito first rejected the discriminatory motive argument and then implicitly accepted a rational basis justifying these laws. He began by attacking the discriminatory legislative motives put forward by the Historians’ Brief—though he never addressed the historians’ use of the word “discriminatory.” 131 131 See Dobbs, 142 S. Ct. at 2255–56. ... Close Expressing incredulity, he posed the question: “Are we to believe that the hundreds of lawmakers whose votes were needed to enact these laws were motivated by hostility to Catholics and women?” 132 132 Dobbs, 142 S. Ct. at 2256; see also Franklin, supra note 5, at 974 (describing Justice Alito’s tone in his discussion of the Historians’ Brief). ... Close With the clear implication being “no,” this rhetorical question represented an unequivocal dismissal of the idea that sex-based discrimination was at play in the enactment of these laws. 133 133 See Franklin & Siegel, supra note 74, at 41 (arguing that Dobbs’s discussion of these motives denied the “dual focus of abortion law” and insisted “that restrictions on abortion are, and always have been, exclusively about protecting fetuses”). ... Close By rejecting the notion that historical abortion bans were motivated by sexism, Justice Alito ruled out any “‘invidiously discriminatory animus’ against women” that he earlier suggested would be cause for heightened equal protection review. 134 134 Dobbs, 142 S. Ct. at 2245–46 (quoting Bray v. Alexandria Women’s Health Clinic, 506 U.S. 263, 273–74 (1993)). Professors Franklin and Siegel assert that Justice Alito’s reasoning was part of an effort to “shield abortion laws from the scrutiny that contemporary sex discrimination doctrine demands.” Franklin & Siegel, supra note 74, at 43. Rather, this Comment suggests, Justice Alito implicitly lowered the scrutiny that sex-based discrimination demands. ... Close

Building from the equal protection dicta, he then implied that rational basis would be the appropriate review for these historical laws and offered an ostensibly legitimate government interest: “[T]he passage of these laws was instead spurred by a sincere belief that abortion kills a human being.” 135 135 Dobbs, 142 S. Ct. at 2256. ... Close He supported this rational basis by citing several late-nineteenth- and early-twentieth-century judicial decisions. 136 136 Id. (discussing, inter alia, Nash v. Meyer, 31 P.2d 273, 280 (Idaho 1934); State v. Moore, 25 Iowa 128, 131–32 (1868); State v. Gedicke, 43 N.J.L. 86, 90 (1881); State v. Ausplund, 167 P. 1019, 1022–23 (Or. 1917)). ... Close Justice Alito then concluded this section by stating, “[W]e see no reason to discount the significance of the state laws in question based on these amici’s suggestions about legislative motive.” 137 137 Id. ... Close In other words, because he found the discriminatory motive arguments insufficient to warrant heightened equal protection review, he affirmed the constitutionality of these historical laws by merely applying a shadow rational basis review.

This passage suggests that Dobbs employed a hidden equal protection analysis to evaluate a tradition of abortion regulations that discriminated on the basis of sex. The Court implicitly determined that criminal abortion laws at the time of the Fourteenth Amendment’s adoption would not be subjected to heightened scrutiny and, instead, accepted a rational basis for their passage. The Court did so in order to incorporate these laws into the nation’s historical tradition of abortion regulation. By departing from the Court’s modern sex-based equality precedents, Dobbs manifested the danger of the history and tradition test’s opposing traditions and hidden equality problems. 138 138 See Franklin & Siegel, supra note 74, at 30 (describing the modern equal protection standard for laws regulating pregnancy and explaining how Justice Alito ignored the “rise of sex discrimination law”). ... Close The test allowed the Court to quietly undermine equal protection doctrine and revive sex-based status inequality in order to create the false appearance of a singular historical tradition. 139 139 See Franklin, supra note 5, at 951 (finding that hidden equality determinations in history and tradition cases allowed the Court to “dismantle equal protection doctrine . . . in ways that can be hard to detect”); Siegel, How History and Tradition Perpetuates Inequality, supra note 1, at 907 (asserting that the Court’s selective deferrals to the past in history and tradition cases “enforc[ed] old forms of [gendered] status inequality”). ... Close

In Bruen and Dobbs, the Court’s adoption of the history and tradition test required a historical analysis of gun and abortion regulations that produced two unacknowledged problems. First, history and tradition analysis revealed opposing historical traditions but required the Court to affirm a singular tradition. Second, because these traditions implicated equality concerns and because historical tradition should not rest on unconstitutional grounds, the Court engaged in hidden equality determinations. The Court’s reasoning suggests that it resolved the opposing traditions problem through hidden equal protection analysis. The Court implicitly struck past laws and practices out of this nation’s historical tradition by applying a shadow strict scrutiny review, and it implicitly incorporated past laws and practices into the historical tradition by applying a shadow rational basis review. In creating the illusion of a uniform historical tradition, the Court’s hidden equality analysis aligned with race-based equal protection doctrine but undermined sex-based equal protection doctrine. To prevent the further erosion of modern understandings of equality, the history and tradition test needs a clear framework for evaluating the opposing traditions and hidden equality problems.